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Angola Power Report Business Monitor

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Table of Contents

Market Study
Published: August 2013
Pages: 61
Tables: For full details, please email deborahf@cmsinfo.com
From: GBP 809.00  Buy Now!
Research from: Business Monitor International
Sector: Power

  • 61 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports

BMI View: Angola's increasing investment in hydropower is paying off, with 2013 set to see it accounting for over 68% of the country's energy mix. However, with thermal power still strongly relied upon, its percentage of the total electricity mix will waver over our 10-year forecast period, dropping to just 62.9% by end-2022. Angola suffers from energy distribution disparities, with rural areas poorly served; the country's total electrification rate stands at just 12%, meaning that much investment in transmission and distribution infrastructure still needs to be made.

With rich natural resources, Angola has energy-hungry industries operating in the country, particularly in the Cabinda exclave. In order to meet the needs of industry, the government will have to continue to invest in new power stations - such as the two under construction in Cabinda and a third in Dundo - and in upgrading and expanding existing power infrastructure - such as at the Cambambe dam. If not, it risks being unable to meet domestic demand and having to turn to expensive power imports.

BMI forecasts that Angola's overall power generation will increase by an annual average of 5.2% between 2013 and 2022, to reach 11.2 terawatt hours (TWh). A 4.9% annual average increase in hydropower will spur this growth, with hydroelectric power to dominate the electricity mix during the 10-year forecast period to 2022, making up over 60%. However, its presence will begin to decrease over the second half of our 10-year forecast period, from 70.0% in 2015 to just 62.9% by 2022. Thermal will see a resurgence, increasing its presence in the energy mix from 30.0% in 2015 to 37.2% in 2022.

We envisage Angola's net power consumption increasing from 7.0TWh in 2013 to 10.4TWh by 2022. A steady increase in real GDP will support growth, with average annual growth of 6.1% anticipated between 2013 and 2022.

We expect improvements to Angola's national electricity grid to result in a gradual decline in the...

The Angola Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Angola Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Angola to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Angola's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Angola
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Regional Overview

The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country, incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations, as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.

BMI Industry Forecasts

The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2017 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal, Coal, Gas, Oil, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section, we provide information on electricity generation (TWh), % growth year-on-year, KWh per capita, and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal, gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.

Electricity Generating Capacity offers forecasts for the potential net capacity and net capacity growth % change year-on-year for the whole power industry. It also includes individual forecasts for capacity (MW), capacity growth % change year-on-year, and % of total capacity for Thermal, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables.

The section also includes historic data series and forecasts to end-2017 for:

Electricity Consumption, encompassing information on net consumption (TWh), net consumption growth % change year-on-year, and net consumption per capita (KWh).

Transmission And Distribution Losses, comprising predictions on Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, (TWh), and Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, % of Output.

Electricity Trade, offering historical figures for imports and exports and forecasts for net imports (TWh).

Market Overview

This section provides an overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Risk/Reward Ratings

BMI's Power Risk/reward Ratings provide fully comparable ratings aimed at investors (power companies, services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market. The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Ratings products.

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